Lamphun Warrior 1-2 Buriram United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 26 Mar 2025

Lamphun Warrior
1-2 HT 1-0
Buriram United
📅26/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Lamphun Warrior vs Buriram United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
56%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.23
Over 2.5
44%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.76
No
58%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS No — 58% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+6.2pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.1pp
56%
Away Win
66%
-9.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
41%
+15.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
59%
-15.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.4pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lamphun Warrior v Buriram United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Buriram United EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +68%
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
193 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 449 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
– Crosses 22.1
– Yellow Cards 1.8

Lamphun Warrior vs Buriram United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamphun Warrior
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Buriram United
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.62 xG 1.93
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
218 Passes 419
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 37
10 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
26.10.2024 Buriram United Buriram United 1-1 HT 0-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
20.08.2023 Buriram United Buriram United 3-0 HT 2-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
05.03.2023 Buriram United Buriram United 2-0 HT 0-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
07.10.2022 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 0-2 HT 0-0 Buriram United Buriram United TAY

Lamphun Warrior 1-2 Buriram United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamphun Warrior
1-2
AWAY Buriram United
1.24 xG 1.69
25% Ball Possession 75%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
133 Passes 546
67% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lamphun Warrior vs Buriram United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United nicked a narrow win over Lamphun Warrior 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lamphun Warrior had 25% of the ball to Buriram United's 75%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.24 to 1.69.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Buriram United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Lamphun Warrior and 2.00 for Buriram United.

What was the final score of Lamphun Warrior vs Buriram United?

Lamphun Warrior 1-2 Buriram United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamphun Warrior vs Buriram United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Lamphun Warrior 21%, draw 23%, Buriram United 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buriram United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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