Buriram United 1-1 Lamphun Warrior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.18
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.63
Over 2.5
50%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.13
No
63%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
80%
-16.9pp
20%
Draw
13%
+6.7pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+10.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
34%
+15.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
66%
-15.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
43%
-6.3pp
63%
BTTS No
57%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buriram United EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 9%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.92/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.71
+14% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +10%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
436 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 76%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
20.8 Crosses 14.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buriram United
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.73 xG 0.65
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
379 Passes 274
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2023 Buriram United Buriram United 3-0 HT 2-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
05.03.2023 Buriram United Buriram United 2-0 HT 0-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
07.10.2022 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 0-2 HT 0-0 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buriram United
1-1
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
2.32 xG 0.55
75% Ball Possession 25%
19 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
498 Passes 107
87% Pass Accuracy 59%
51 Box Touches 12
36 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Buriram United vs Lamphun Warrior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United and Lamphun Warrior shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Buriram United carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Buriram United had 75% of the ball to Lamphun Warrior's 25%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.32 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Buriram United had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Buriram United and 0.00 for Lamphun Warrior.

What was the final score of Buriram United vs Lamphun Warrior?

Buriram United 1-1 Lamphun Warrior in the Thailand - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buriram United vs Lamphun Warrior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Buriram United 63%, draw 20%, Lamphun Warrior 17%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Buriram United) ✗ BTTS No
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