Sukhothai 3-1 Rayong FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
22%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
46%
+6.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
22%
Away Win
29%
-7.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.9pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 32%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-2% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
33.2 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sukhothai
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Rayong FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 10
13 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2022 Sukhothai Sukhothai 2-1 HT 0-0 Rayong FC TAY1
21.11.2021 Rayong FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sukhothai
3-1
AWAY Rayong FC
1.68 xG 1.57
39% Ball Possession 61%
17 Total Shots 21
8 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 7
198 Passes 333
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 20
6 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sukhothai vs Rayong FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sukhothai saw off Rayong FC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sukhothai as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Sukhothai had 39% of the ball to Rayong FC's 61%, shots finished 17-21, expected goals 1.68 to 1.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sukhothai had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sukhothai and 1.00 for Rayong FC.

What was the final score of Sukhothai vs Rayong FC?

Sukhothai 3-1 Rayong FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sukhothai vs Rayong FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sukhothai win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sukhothai 52%, draw 26%, Rayong FC 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sukhothai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sukhothai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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