BG Pathum United vs Nakhon Pathom Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BG Pathum United v Nakhon Pathom — Team-Based Signals
BG Pathum United vs Nakhon Pathom Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
BG Pathum United 3-1 Nakhon Pathom — Actual Match Statistics
BG Pathum United got the better of Nakhon Pathom 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had BG Pathum United as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, BG Pathum United had 72% of the ball to Nakhon Pathom's 28%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 1.19 to 1.03.
What was the final score of BG Pathum United vs Nakhon Pathom?
BG Pathum United 3-1 Nakhon Pathom in the Thailand - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BG Pathum United vs Nakhon Pathom?
Before kick-off our model rated a BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split BG Pathum United 60%, draw 23%, Nakhon Pathom 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BG Pathum United) — a clean sweep of the main markets.