26/04/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Bodens BK vs Kiruna FF Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
60%
26%
Draw
22%
16%
Away Win
18%
42%
Under 2.5
40%
58%
Over 2.5
60%
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
46%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bodens BK v Kiruna FF — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bodens BK
EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kiruna FF
EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% /
-3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+27% /
+27%
2.12/1.04
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.89/0.75
-8%
/
+9%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-31%
/
+150%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
4
368 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
306 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Bodens BK vs Kiruna FF Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Bodens BK
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Kiruna FF
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
24.07.2022
Kiruna FF
1-1
HT 0-0
Bodens BK
İSÇ4
1-1
HT 0-0
Bodens BK
İSÇ4
POST-MATCH
Bodens BK vs Kiruna FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bodens BK nicked a narrow win over Kiruna FF 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Bodens BK as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Bodens BK vs Kiruna FF?
Bodens BK 1-0 Kiruna FF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bodens BK vs Kiruna FF?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bodens BK win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Bodens BK 58%, draw 26%, Kiruna FF 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bodens BK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Bodens BK)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İSÇ4
More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
26 Apr 2024