Säffle SK 1-1 Herrestads — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
46%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.29
Over 2.5
46%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
40%
+14.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
60%
-14.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.2pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Säffle SK EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Herrestads EU Bookmakers 53%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.52/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.18
-64% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +13%
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Säffle SK
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Herrestads
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
01.09.2023 Herrestads Herrestads 1-1 HT 0-0 Säffle SK Säffle SK İSÇ4
12.05.2023 Säffle SK Säffle SK 2-0 HT 0-0 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
18.04.2022 Säffle SK Säffle SK 3-0 HT 1-0 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Säffle SK vs Herrestads
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Säffle SK and Herrestads couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Herrestads at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Säffle SK had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Säffle SK and 0.33 for Herrestads.

What was the final score of Säffle SK vs Herrestads?

Säffle SK 1-1 Herrestads in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Säffle SK vs Herrestads?

Before kick-off our model rated an Herrestads win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Säffle SK 29%, draw 25%, Herrestads 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Herrestads), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Herrestads) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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