Pisa 2-2 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 26 Apr 2024

Pisa
2-2 HT 0-1
Catanzaro
📅26/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Pisa vs Catanzaro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.71
6+ Goals
11%
15.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.97
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.7
X/1
13%
4.77
X/2
10%
6.89
X/X
13%
4.35
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
26.5
2/2
14%
5.02
2/X
9%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 11% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pisa v Catanzaro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pisa EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.38/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.50
+5% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
23.0 Crosses 12.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.4

Pisa vs Catanzaro Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pisa
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Catanzaro
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.68 xG 1.08
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
554 Passes 286
90% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.12.2023 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-0 HT 0-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
02.02.2014 Pisa Pisa 0-0 HT 0-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTC

Pisa 2-2 Catanzaro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pisa
2-2
AWAY Catanzaro
1.70 xG 0.63
47% Ball Possession 53%
20 Total Shots 2
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
352 Passes 403
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 6
25 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pisa vs Catanzaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pisa and Catanzaro couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pisa at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Pisa had 47% of the ball to Catanzaro's 53%, shots finished 20-2, expected goals 1.70 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Catanzaro led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Pisa and 1.00 for Catanzaro.

What was the final score of Pisa vs Catanzaro?

Pisa 2-2 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pisa vs Catanzaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pisa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Pisa 44%, draw 27%, Catanzaro 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pisa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pisa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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