Hertha Berlin 1-1 Hannover 96 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.69
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.85
6+ Goals
15%
7.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.05
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
8%
12.3
X/1
12%
5.33
X/2
6%
6.54
X/X
12%
5.37
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
23.6
2/2
20%
4.06
2/X
5%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.9pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 36%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
2.16/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.55
+101% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
17.5 Crosses 18.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Berlin
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Hannover 96
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.27 xG 1.08
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
283 Passes 313
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.11.2023 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 2-2 HT 0-2 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
02.12.2022 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 1-2 HT 1-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin HAZ
14.07.2021 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 4-4 HT 3-1 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 HAZ
21.04.2019 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 0-0 HT 0-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL1
01.12.2018 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 0-2 HT 0-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
05.05.2018 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 3-1 HT 3-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hertha Berlin
1-1
AWAY Hannover 96
0.55 xG 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 10
352 Passes 386
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin vs Hannover 96
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin and Hannover 96 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hertha Berlin at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Hertha Berlin had 48% of the ball to Hannover 96's 52%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.55 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hertha Berlin and 1.67 for Hannover 96.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin vs Hannover 96?

Hertha Berlin 1-1 Hannover 96 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin vs Hannover 96?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin 43%, draw 25%, Hannover 96 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hertha Berlin), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hertha Berlin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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