St. Pauli 1-0 Hansa Rostock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 26 Apr 2024

St. Pauli
1-0 HT 0-0
Hansa Rostock
📅26/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

St. Pauli vs Hansa Rostock Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.06
6+ Goals
13%
9.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.62
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
20.85
X/1
16%
3.43
X/2
7%
16.3
X/X
6%
6.9
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.7
2/2
9%
13.1
2/X
6%
21.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
69%
-6.3pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.6pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Pauli v Hansa Rostock — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 15%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.73/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.65
-9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +6%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
469 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
22.1 Crosses 16.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9

St. Pauli vs Hansa Rostock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Hansa Rostock
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.52 xG 1.53
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
394 Passes 270
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 2-3 HT 1-3 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
26.02.2023 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-0 HT 1-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
21.08.2022 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 2-0 HT 2-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
02.04.2022 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
24.10.2021 St. Pauli St. Pauli 4-0 HT 2-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
22.04.2012 St. Pauli St. Pauli 3-0 HT 1-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2

St. Pauli 1-0 Hansa Rostock — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pauli
1-0
AWAY Hansa Rostock
0.61 xG 0.58
64% Ball Possession 36%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
420 Passes 199
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 7
18 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH St. Pauli vs Hansa Rostock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli squeezed past Hansa Rostock 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had St. Pauli as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, St. Pauli had 64% of the ball to Hansa Rostock's 36%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.61 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pauli had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for St. Pauli and 0.83 for Hansa Rostock.

What was the final score of St. Pauli vs Hansa Rostock?

St. Pauli 1-0 Hansa Rostock in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli vs Hansa Rostock?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pauli win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli 62%, draw 18%, Hansa Rostock 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pauli) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Pauli) ✗ Over 2.5
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