Kolding IF 0-3 SonderjyskE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 26% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.2
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
10%
13.0
X/1
8%
6.18
X/2
14%
5.06
X/X
9%
4.71
2/1
11%
31.0
2/2
23%
3.24
2/X
8%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolding IF EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.29/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.36
-8% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +63%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
37.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
14.5 Crosses 13.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolding IF
0W-0D-3L
AWAY SonderjyskE
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.01 xG 1.96
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
237 Passes 410
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2023 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 4-0 HT 2-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
18.08.2023 Kolding IF Kolding IF 1-3 HT 0-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN1
30.08.2022 Kolding IF Kolding IF 0-2 HT 0-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolding IF
0-3
AWAY SonderjyskE
0.74 xG 1.27
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
211 Passes 306
65% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kolding IF vs SonderjyskE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SonderjyskE cruised past Kolding IF 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SonderjyskE as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kolding IF had 43% of the ball to SonderjyskE's 57%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.74 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, SonderjyskE led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Kolding IF and 3.00 for SonderjyskE.

What was the final score of Kolding IF vs SonderjyskE?

Kolding IF 0-3 SonderjyskE in the Denmark 1st Division on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolding IF vs SonderjyskE?

Before kick-off our model rated an SonderjyskE win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kolding IF 30%, draw 26%, SonderjyskE 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SonderjyskE), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SonderjyskE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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