Jarun 2-2 Vukovar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒16:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Vukovar win — 35%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarun EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Vukovar EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +41%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
207 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jarun
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Vukovar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.03.2024 Vukovar Vukovar 0-1 HT 0-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jarun
2-2
AWAY Vukovar
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jarun vs Vukovar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarun and Vukovar shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Jarun had 32% of the ball to Vukovar's 68%, shots finished 6-12.

What was the final score of Jarun vs Vukovar?

Jarun 2-2 Vukovar in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarun vs Vukovar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Jarun 34%, draw 31%, Vukovar 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vukovar) ✗ Under 2.5
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