Istra 1961 3-0 Slaven Belupo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.62
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.48
6+ Goals
7%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
1.20/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.28
-5% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 78%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
17.9 Crosses 18.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Slaven Belupo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.03 xG 0.81
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
370 Passes 276
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.02.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 1-1 HT 0-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
05.11.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 2-0 HT 1-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
19.08.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-2 HT 2-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
27.05.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-1 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
31.03.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-0 HT 1-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
20.01.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-0 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
3-0
AWAY Slaven Belupo
1.35 xG 0.45
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
272 Passes 183
71% Pass Accuracy 61%
16 Box Touches 10
8 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Istra 1961 vs Slaven Belupo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Istra 1961 swept aside Slaven Belupo 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Istra 1961 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Istra 1961 had 56% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 44%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.35 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Istra 1961 and 1.00 for Slaven Belupo.

What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs Slaven Belupo?

Istra 1961 3-0 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Istra 1961 vs Slaven Belupo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Istra 1961 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 46%, draw 29%, Slaven Belupo 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Istra 1961), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Istra 1961) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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