Piast Gliwice 2-0 Warta Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.44
Over 2.5
38%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.06
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
6.29
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.68
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.4
X/1
11%
3.96
X/2
9%
8.36
X/X
14%
3.39
2/1
11%
34.5
2/2
9%
7.64
2/X
11%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
66%
-3.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
34%
+3.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -7%
1.36/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.45
-6% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
20.6 Crosses 13.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Piast Gliwice
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Warta Poznan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.80 xG 0.96
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
395 Passes 247
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 1-1 HT 1-1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
22.05.2023 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 1-1 HT 1-1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
05.11.2022 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-2 HT 0-1 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
29.04.2022 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 2-3 HT 1-1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
06.11.2021 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-1 HT 0-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
22.02.2021 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-1 HT 0-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Piast Gliwice
2-0
AWAY Warta Poznan
1.29 xG 0.77
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
446 Passes 277
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Piast Gliwice vs Warta Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Piast Gliwice saw off Warta Poznan 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Piast Gliwice as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Piast Gliwice had 58% of the ball to Warta Poznan's 42%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.29 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Warta Poznan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Piast Gliwice and 1.33 for Warta Poznan.

What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Warta Poznan?

Piast Gliwice 2-0 Warta Poznan in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Piast Gliwice vs Warta Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Piast Gliwice 48%, draw 30%, Warta Poznan 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Piast Gliwice), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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