Slovacko 1-0 FK Pardubice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.71
Over Pick
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.71
2-3
36%
1.73
4-5
26%
3.97
6+
10%
18.75
Value flag · 4-5 at 3.97 — our 26% vs market 19.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovacko EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
0.85/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.38
-32% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 66%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
25.7 Crosses 12.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovacko
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FK Pardubice
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.22 xG 0.71
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
322 Passes 224
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 15
32 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2024 Slovacko Slovacko 1-1 HT 1-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
11.08.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-1 HT 0-0 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
10.02.2024 Slovacko Slovacko 1-2 HT 0-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
26.08.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-1 HT 0-1 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
06.11.2022 Slovacko Slovacko 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
22.02.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-0 HT 0-0 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovacko
1-0
AWAY FK Pardubice
0.79 xG 1.42
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 5
233 Passes 320
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slovacko vs FK Pardubice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovacko edged past FK Pardubice 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Slovacko as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Slovacko had 44% of the ball to FK Pardubice's 56%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.79 to 1.42 — the balance of chances actually favoured FK Pardubice.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovacko had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Slovacko and 0.50 for FK Pardubice.

What was the final score of Slovacko vs FK Pardubice?

Slovacko 1-0 FK Pardubice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovacko vs FK Pardubice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slovacko win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Slovacko 45%, draw 28%, FK Pardubice 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slovacko) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Slovacko)
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