Ceske Budejovice 1-2 Mlada Boleslav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
47%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.23
Over
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.33
2-3
38%
1.87
4-5
26%
2.8
6+
14%
7.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-4.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.8pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceske Budejovice EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 56%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.47/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.45/2.08
+25% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
18.2 Crosses 12.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceske Budejovice
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.82 xG 1.68
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
221 Passes 333
68% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.12.2024 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 0-4 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
11.08.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 4-0 HT 1-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
02.03.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-1 HT 2-1 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
23.09.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 1-2 HT 0-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
25.02.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-2 HT 1-1 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
03.09.2022 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 0-2 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceske Budejovice
1-2
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
1.48 xG 1.95
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
213 Passes 467
76% Pass Accuracy 90%
30 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ceske Budejovice vs Mlada Boleslav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlada Boleslav edged past Ceske Budejovice 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mlada Boleslav as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ceske Budejovice had 36% of the ball to Mlada Boleslav's 64%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.48 to 1.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ceske Budejovice and 2.83 for Mlada Boleslav.

What was the final score of Ceske Budejovice vs Mlada Boleslav?

Ceske Budejovice 1-2 Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceske Budejovice vs Mlada Boleslav?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ceske Budejovice 27%, draw 26%, Mlada Boleslav 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mlada Boleslav), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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