Ceske Budejovice 0-4 Mlada Boleslav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.71
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
44%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.96
6+ Goals
8%
9.02
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.13 — our 28% vs market 18.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
18%
+10.4pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.1pp
44%
Away Win
58%
-14.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceske Budejovice EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 62%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
0.73/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.87
-24% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -54%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 82%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.9 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceske Budejovice
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.83 xG 1.37
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
201 Passes 359
63% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.08.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 4-0 HT 1-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
02.03.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-1 HT 2-1 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
23.09.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 1-2 HT 0-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
25.02.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-2 HT 1-1 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
03.09.2022 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 0-2 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
30.04.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-0 HT 0-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceske Budejovice
0-4
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
0.82 xG 1.99
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
241 Passes 307
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 25
26 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ceske Budejovice vs Mlada Boleslav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlada Boleslav ran out comfortable winners over Ceske Budejovice 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mlada Boleslav as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ceske Budejovice had 45% of the ball to Mlada Boleslav's 55%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 0.82 to 1.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ceske Budejovice and 2.33 for Mlada Boleslav.

What was the final score of Ceske Budejovice vs Mlada Boleslav?

Ceske Budejovice 0-4 Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceske Budejovice vs Mlada Boleslav?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ceske Budejovice 29%, draw 27%, Mlada Boleslav 44%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mlada Boleslav), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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