Karvina 1-2 Viktoria Plzen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
45%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 30% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+6.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-7.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.4pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karvina EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 56%
-10% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.15/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.53
+2% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +10%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
287 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.1
27.4 Crosses 30.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karvina
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.38 xG 2.37
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
194 Passes 340
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 38
12 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
11.08.2024 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 5-0 HT 2-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
06.04.2024 Karvina Karvina 0-0 HT 0-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
29.10.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 0-1 HT 0-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
18.12.2021 Karvina Karvina 0-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
22.08.2021 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 2-0 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
10.04.2021 Karvina Karvina 1-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karvina
1-2
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
0.73 xG 2.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
234 Passes 255
64% Pass Accuracy 66%
26 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Karvina vs Viktoria Plzen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Plzen nicked a narrow win over Karvina 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Viktoria Plzen as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Karvina had 48% of the ball to Viktoria Plzen's 52%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.73 to 2.25 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Viktoria Plzen's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Plzen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Karvina and 1.50 for Viktoria Plzen.

What was the final score of Karvina vs Viktoria Plzen?

Karvina 1-2 Viktoria Plzen in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karvina vs Viktoria Plzen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Karvina 30%, draw 25%, Viktoria Plzen 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇEK More Czech Republic - Czech Liga
8 Dec 2024
15:00 Ceske Budejovice vs Mlada Boleslav Analysis →
17:30 Slovan Liberec vs Teplice Analysis →
17:30 Sigma Olomouc vs Slavia Prag Analysis →
20:30 Hradec Kralove vs Banik Ostrava Analysis →