Viktoria Plzen 5-0 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
20%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.51
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.48 — our 28% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.2pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.9pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.8pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.27/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.15
+3% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
24.4 Crosses 14.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Plzen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Karvina
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.15 xG 0.42
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
355 Passes 185
79% Pass Accuracy 66%
32 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Karvina Karvina 0-0 HT 0-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
29.10.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 0-1 HT 0-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
18.12.2021 Karvina Karvina 0-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
22.08.2021 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 2-0 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
10.04.2021 Karvina Karvina 1-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
05.12.2020 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 0-1 HT 0-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Plzen
5-0
AWAY Karvina
3.59 xG 0.34
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
325 Passes 203
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
45 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Viktoria Plzen vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Plzen cruised past Karvina 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Viktoria Plzen as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Viktoria Plzen had 60% of the ball to Karvina's 40%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 3.59 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Viktoria Plzen and 0.50 for Karvina.

What was the final score of Viktoria Plzen vs Karvina?

Viktoria Plzen 5-0 Karvina in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Plzen vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Plzen 56%, draw 22%, Karvina 22%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Plzen), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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