Banik Ostrava 1-0 Hradec Kralove — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.53
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 27% vs market 23.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 23%
-16% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
1.99/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.90
+5% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
462 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 68%
34.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
22.2 Crosses 17.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banik Ostrava
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hradec Kralove
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 2-3 HT 2-1 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
12.08.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 2-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
26.02.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 0-2 HT 0-1 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
04.09.2022 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 0-0 HT 0-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
07.05.2022 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 3-1 HT 1-1 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
10.04.2022 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 0-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banik Ostrava
1-0
AWAY Hradec Kralove
1.88 xG 0.90
76% Ball Possession 24%
28 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 0
594 Passes 134
88% Pass Accuracy 61%
56 Box Touches 7
48 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Banik Ostrava vs Hradec Kralove
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banik Ostrava edged past Hradec Kralove 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Banik Ostrava as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Banik Ostrava had 76% of the ball to Hradec Kralove's 24%, shots finished 28-4, expected goals 1.88 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banik Ostrava had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Banik Ostrava and 0.83 for Hradec Kralove.

What was the final score of Banik Ostrava vs Hradec Kralove?

Banik Ostrava 1-0 Hradec Kralove in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banik Ostrava vs Hradec Kralove?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banik Ostrava win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Banik Ostrava 52%, draw 23%, Hradec Kralove 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Banik Ostrava), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Banik Ostrava) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇEK More Czech Republic - Czech Liga
11 Aug 2024
15:30 FK Pardubice vs Slovacko Analysis →
18:00 Mlada Boleslav vs Ceske Budejovice Analysis →
21:00 Viktoria Plzen vs Karvina Analysis →