Mlada Boleslav 4-0 Ceske Budejovice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.51
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.9
6+ Goals
12%
8.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-9.2pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.0pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceske Budejovice EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
0.83/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.86
+7% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 74%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
24.3 Crosses 18.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Ceske Budejovice
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.37 xG 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
359 Passes 201
76% Pass Accuracy 63%
29 Box Touches 10
31 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-1 HT 2-1 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
23.09.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 1-2 HT 0-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
25.02.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-2 HT 1-1 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
03.09.2022 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 0-2 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
30.04.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-0 HT 0-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
10.04.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-0 HT 1-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
4-0
AWAY Ceske Budejovice
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs Ceske Budejovice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlada Boleslav swept aside Ceske Budejovice 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mlada Boleslav as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 56% of the ball to Ceske Budejovice's 44%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 0.67 for Ceske Budejovice.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Ceske Budejovice?

Mlada Boleslav 4-0 Ceske Budejovice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs Ceske Budejovice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 49%, draw 25%, Ceske Budejovice 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mlada Boleslav), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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