Alvechurch 3-2 Lowestoft Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.43
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
65%
-0.8pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.7pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.9pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Lowestoft Town EU Bookmakers 19%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
2.31/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.61
+11% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -26%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
413 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvechurch
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Lowestoft Town
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 4
12 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2025 Lowestoft Town Lowestoft Town 0-4 HT 0-2 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
16.04.2022 Alvechurch Alvechurch 2-0 HT 2-0 Lowestoft Town Lowestoft Town İNGNLP
28.08.2021 Lowestoft Town Lowestoft Town 3-2 HT 0-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Alvechurch vs Lowestoft Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvechurch edged past Lowestoft Town 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alvechurch as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Alvechurch had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Alvechurch and 1.00 for Lowestoft Town.

What was the final score of Alvechurch vs Lowestoft Town?

Alvechurch 3-2 Lowestoft Town in the England - Non League Premier on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvechurch vs Lowestoft Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alvechurch win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Alvechurch 65%, draw 17%, Lowestoft Town 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alvechurch), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alvechurch) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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