Bedford Town 2-0 Stourbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-9.0pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.5pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bedford Town EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 23%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
3.33/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.81
+60% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bedford Town
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Stourbridge
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
21.01.2025 Stourbridge Stourbridge 0-1 HT 0-1 Bedford Town Bedford Town İNGNLP
18.02.2023 Stourbridge Stourbridge 2-1 HT 0-0 Bedford Town Bedford Town İNGNLP
01.10.2022 Bedford Town Bedford Town 2-4 HT 0-2 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Bedford Town vs Stourbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bedford Town got the better of Stourbridge 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bedford Town as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Stourbridge led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bedford Town and 2.00 for Stourbridge.

What was the final score of Bedford Town vs Stourbridge?

Bedford Town 2-0 Stourbridge in the England - Non League Premier on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bedford Town vs Stourbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bedford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bedford Town 49%, draw 27%, Stourbridge 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bedford Town) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bedford Town) ✗ Over 2.5
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