Walton & Hersham 4-2 Swindon Supermarine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.33
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
28%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
Over Pick
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.32
No
38%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
32%
4-5
37%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
39%
+10.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
40%
-12.2pp
62%
BTTS Yes
72%
-9.4pp
38%
BTTS No
28%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walton & Hersham EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Swindon Supermarine EU Bookmakers 45%
+16% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.11/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.70
+40% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
287 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walton & Hersham
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Swindon Supermarine
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.03.2025 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 0-3 HT 0-1 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham İNGNLP
13.01.2024 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 2-1 HT 1-0 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham İNGNLP
12.08.2023 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham 4-2 HT 1-2 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walton & Hersham
4-2
AWAY Swindon Supermarine
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Walton & Hersham vs Swindon Supermarine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walton & Hersham beat Swindon Supermarine 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Walton & Hersham as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Walton & Hersham had 60% of the ball to Swindon Supermarine's 40%, shots finished 11-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Walton & Hersham had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Walton & Hersham and 1.33 for Swindon Supermarine.

What was the final score of Walton & Hersham vs Swindon Supermarine?

Walton & Hersham 4-2 Swindon Supermarine in the England - Non League Premier on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walton & Hersham vs Swindon Supermarine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walton & Hersham win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Walton & Hersham 49%, draw 22%, Swindon Supermarine 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walton & Hersham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Walton & Hersham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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