Longford Town 0-3 Dundalk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2025

Longford Town
0-3 HT 0-0
Dundalk
📅26/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ireland - 1st Division – 2025

Longford Town vs Dundalk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
7.18
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
51%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.23
Over 2.5
43%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
4.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
20%
2.82
6+ Goals
7%
8.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.28 — our 34% vs market 17.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
11%
+14.7pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.3pp
51%
Away Win
71%
-20.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
41%
+16.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
59%
-16.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.5pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Longford Town v Dundalk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Longford Town EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundalk EU Bookmakers 75%
+27% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.03/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.35
+38% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +134%
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Longford Town vs Dundalk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Longford Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Dundalk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.03.2025 Dundalk Dundalk 2-1 HT 1-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
29.07.2022 Dundalk Dundalk 4-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İRK
07.11.2021 Dundalk Dundalk 2-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İRL
11.09.2021 Longford Town Longford Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
18.06.2021 Dundalk Dundalk 1-1 HT 1-1 Longford Town Longford Town İRL
03.05.2021 Longford Town Longford Town 2-2 HT 2-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
POST-MATCH Longford Town vs Dundalk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundalk ran out comfortable winners over Longford Town 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dundalk as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Longford Town and 1.83 for Dundalk.

What was the final score of Longford Town vs Dundalk?

Longford Town 0-3 Dundalk in the Ireland - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Longford Town vs Dundalk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Longford Town 26%, draw 23%, Dundalk 51%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundalk), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dundalk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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