Dundalk 2-1 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.27
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
2.76
6+ Goals
11%
7.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
75%
-10.2pp
19%
Draw
17%
+2.9pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+7.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 11%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.52/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.06
-32% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
453 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 195 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Longford Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
29.07.2022 Dundalk Dundalk 4-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İRK
07.11.2021 Dundalk Dundalk 2-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İRL
11.09.2021 Longford Town Longford Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
18.06.2021 Dundalk Dundalk 1-1 HT 1-1 Longford Town Longford Town İRL
03.05.2021 Longford Town Longford Town 2-2 HT 2-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
17.10.2016 Longford Town Longford Town 0-3 HT 0-2 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundalk
2-1
AWAY Longford Town
69% Ball Possession 31%
17 Total Shots 1
6 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundalk edged past Longford Town 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dundalk as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Dundalk had 69% of the ball to Longford Town's 31%, shots finished 17-1.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dundalk and 0.67 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs Longford Town?

Dundalk 2-1 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 64%, draw 19%, Longford Town 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundalk), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dundalk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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