Wexford Youths 1-2 Kerry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.13
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 26% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerry EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.37/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.19
-14% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wexford Youths
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Kerry
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
11.10.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 4-0 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
28.06.2024 Kerry 1-1 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
17.05.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-0 HT 2-0 Kerry İR1
29.03.2024 Kerry 1-1 HT 1-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
06.10.2023 Kerry 1-2 HT 1-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
11.08.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 3-2 HT 0-1 Kerry İR1
POST-MATCH Wexford Youths vs Kerry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerry nicked a narrow win over Wexford Youths 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Wexford Youths at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wexford Youths had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Wexford Youths and 0.83 for Kerry.

What was the final score of Wexford Youths vs Kerry?

Wexford Youths 1-2 Kerry in the Ireland - 1st Division on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wexford Youths vs Kerry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wexford Youths win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Wexford Youths 43%, draw 24%, Kerry 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wexford Youths) ✗ BTTS No
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