Wexford Youths 2-0 Kerry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 17 May 2024

Wexford Youths
2-0 HT 2-0
Kerry
📅17/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ireland - 1st Division – 2024

Wexford Youths vs Kerry Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.73
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 27% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-11.4pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.9pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wexford Youths v Kerry — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerry EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.55/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.80
+33% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +100%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Wexford Youths vs Kerry Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wexford Youths
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Kerry
2.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.03.2024 Kerry 1-1 HT 1-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
06.10.2023 Kerry 1-2 HT 1-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
11.08.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 3-2 HT 0-1 Kerry İR1
26.05.2023 Kerry 0-6 HT 0-2 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
17.03.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-1 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
POST-MATCH Wexford Youths vs Kerry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wexford Youths got the better of Kerry 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wexford Youths as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Wexford Youths had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for Wexford Youths and 1.00 for Kerry.

What was the final score of Wexford Youths vs Kerry?

Wexford Youths 2-0 Kerry in the Ireland - 1st Division on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wexford Youths vs Kerry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wexford Youths win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Wexford Youths 46%, draw 29%, Kerry 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wexford Youths), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wexford Youths) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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