Univ College Dublin 3-3 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.22
6+ Goals
9%
20.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +29%
1.45/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.42
-4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Univ College Dublin
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Finn Harps
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.83 xG 1.05
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
184 Passes 226
57% Pass Accuracy 61%
8 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
28.10.2022 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-3 HT 1-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İRL
12.08.2022 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-1 HT 1-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İRL
13.05.2022 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-1 HT 0-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İRL
25.02.2022 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İRL
04.10.2019 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-0 HT 0-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Univ College Dublin
3-3
AWAY Finn Harps
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Univ College Dublin vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin and Finn Harps shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Univ College Dublin at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Univ College Dublin had 62% of the ball to Finn Harps's 38%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Univ College Dublin and 0.50 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Finn Harps?

Univ College Dublin 3-3 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 43%, draw 25%, Finn Harps 32%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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