Finn Harps 1-1 Univ College Dublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2024

Finn Harps
1-1 HT 1-0
Univ College Dublin
📅05/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ireland - 1st Division – 2024

Finn Harps vs Univ College Dublin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.75
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.25
6+ Goals
11%
21.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 31% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.3pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.2pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Finn Harps v Univ College Dublin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +19%
0.88/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.43
-42% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Finn Harps vs Univ College Dublin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finn Harps
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Univ College Dublin
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.05 xG 0.83
55% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
226 Passes 184
61% Pass Accuracy 57%
25 Box Touches 8
30 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.10.2022 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-3 HT 1-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İRL
12.08.2022 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-1 HT 1-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İRL
13.05.2022 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-1 HT 0-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İRL
25.02.2022 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İRL
04.10.2019 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-0 HT 0-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İRL
05.07.2019 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İRL

Finn Harps 1-1 Univ College Dublin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Finn Harps
1-1
AWAY Univ College Dublin
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Finn Harps vs Univ College Dublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finn Harps and Univ College Dublin couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Finn Harps at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Finn Harps had 42% of the ball to Univ College Dublin's 58%, shots finished 10-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Finn Harps and 1.17 for Univ College Dublin.

What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Univ College Dublin?

Finn Harps 1-1 Univ College Dublin in the Ireland - 1st Division on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Univ College Dublin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Finn Harps win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 45%, draw 23%, Univ College Dublin 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Finn Harps), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Finn Harps) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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