Bray Wanderers 3-0 Athlone Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.65
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.65 — our 28% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.41/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.61
+0% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bray Wanderers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Athlone Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
04.08.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-2 HT 0-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
05.06.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 3-1 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
07.04.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
02.09.2022 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-0 HT 2-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
08.07.2022 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
POST-MATCH Bray Wanderers vs Athlone Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bray Wanderers ran out comfortable winners over Athlone Town 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Bray Wanderers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bray Wanderers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bray Wanderers and 1.00 for Athlone Town.

What was the final score of Bray Wanderers vs Athlone Town?

Bray Wanderers 3-0 Athlone Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bray Wanderers vs Athlone Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bray Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bray Wanderers 40%, draw 27%, Athlone Town 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bray Wanderers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bray Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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