Wexford Youths 3-2 Treaty United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
41%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.36
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.52
6+ Goals
8%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 26% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-10.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
41%
Away Win
26%
+14.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Treaty United EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +16%
1.49/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.06
+1% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wexford Youths
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Treaty United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 1-2 HT 1-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
28.07.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-0 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
05.06.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 1-1 HT 0-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
31.03.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-1 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
21.10.2022 Treaty United Treaty United 0-2 HT 0-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
10.06.2022 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-1 HT 1-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
POST-MATCH Wexford Youths vs Treaty United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wexford Youths nicked a narrow win over Treaty United 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 41%) promised a tight game; Wexford Youths found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wexford Youths had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Wexford Youths and 0.67 for Treaty United.

What was the final score of Wexford Youths vs Treaty United?

Wexford Youths 3-2 Treaty United in the Ireland - 1st Division on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wexford Youths vs Treaty United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Treaty United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wexford Youths 37%, draw 23%, Treaty United 41%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Treaty United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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