Kerry 3-0 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
5.64
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.7pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Longford Town
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2023 Kerry 0-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
15.07.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
01.04.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kerry
3-0
AWAY Longford Town
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerry cruised past Longford Town 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Kerry found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kerry had 48% of the ball to Longford Town's 52%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Longford Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Kerry and 1.33 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Longford Town?

Kerry 3-0 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kerry win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kerry 39%, draw 28%, Longford Town 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kerry), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kerry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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