Kerry 1-1 Wexford Youths — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2024

Kerry
1-1 HT 1-0
Wexford Youths
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Ireland - 1st Division – 2024

Kerry vs Wexford Youths Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
49%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
29%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+2.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-5.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kerry v Wexford Youths — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 58%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.88/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/0.74
-30% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Kerry vs Wexford Youths Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Wexford Youths
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.10.2023 Kerry 1-2 HT 1-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
11.08.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 3-2 HT 0-1 Kerry İR1
26.05.2023 Kerry 0-6 HT 0-2 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
17.03.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-1 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Wexford Youths
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerry and Wexford Youths couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Wexford Youths at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Wexford Youths led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kerry and 3.25 for Wexford Youths.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Wexford Youths?

Kerry 1-1 Wexford Youths in the Ireland - 1st Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Wexford Youths?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wexford Youths win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kerry 24%, draw 27%, Wexford Youths 49%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wexford Youths) ✗ Over 2.5
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