Longford Town 1-2 Univ College Dublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2024

Longford Town
1-2 HT 0-1
Univ College Dublin
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Ireland - 1st Division – 2024

Longford Town vs Univ College Dublin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
42%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.6
Over 2.5
51%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.71
6+ Goals
11%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-6.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
42%
Away Win
33%
+8.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.8pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Longford Town v Univ College Dublin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Longford Town EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 37%
-14% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
1.29/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.38
-10% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Longford Town vs Univ College Dublin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Longford Town
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Univ College Dublin
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
The Meetings
27.08.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-1 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İRK
31.10.2020 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-3 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
21.09.2020 Longford Town Longford Town 3-1 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
31.07.2020 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
22.09.2018 Longford Town Longford Town 2-2 HT 0-2 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
29.06.2018 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-5 HT 1-2 Longford Town Longford Town İR1

Longford Town 1-2 Univ College Dublin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Longford Town
1-2
AWAY Univ College Dublin
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Longford Town vs Univ College Dublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin edged past Longford Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Univ College Dublin as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Longford Town had 44% of the ball to Univ College Dublin's 56%, shots finished 6-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Longford Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Longford Town and 1.33 for Univ College Dublin.

What was the final score of Longford Town vs Univ College Dublin?

Longford Town 1-2 Univ College Dublin in the Ireland - 1st Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Longford Town vs Univ College Dublin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Longford Town 32%, draw 26%, Univ College Dublin 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Univ College Dublin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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