Wexford Youths 4-0 Kerry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.6
2-3 Goals
43%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.87
6+ Goals
10%
8.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-11.5pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.9pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerry EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -2%
2.34/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.26
+7% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wexford Youths
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Kerry
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
28.06.2024 Kerry 1-1 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
17.05.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-0 HT 2-0 Kerry İR1
29.03.2024 Kerry 1-1 HT 1-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
06.10.2023 Kerry 1-2 HT 1-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
11.08.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 3-2 HT 0-1 Kerry İR1
26.05.2023 Kerry 0-6 HT 0-2 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
POST-MATCH Wexford Youths vs Kerry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wexford Youths cruised past Kerry 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wexford Youths as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wexford Youths had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Wexford Youths and 0.83 for Kerry.

What was the final score of Wexford Youths vs Kerry?

Wexford Youths 4-0 Kerry in the Ireland - 1st Division on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wexford Youths vs Kerry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wexford Youths win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Wexford Youths 57%, draw 23%, Kerry 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wexford Youths), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wexford Youths) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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