Bray Wanderers 2-2 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
16.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 26%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.50/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.61
-3% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bray Wanderers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Finn Harps
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.08.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-2 HT 1-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
06.05.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
01.04.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 2-0 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
20.10.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
07.07.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-0 HT 0-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
12.05.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bray Wanderers
2-2
AWAY Finn Harps
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bray Wanderers and Finn Harps couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bray Wanderers at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bray Wanderers had 51% of the ball to Finn Harps's 49%, shots finished 14-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bray Wanderers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bray Wanderers and 0.67 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps?

Bray Wanderers 2-2 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bray Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bray Wanderers 49%, draw 26%, Finn Harps 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bray Wanderers)
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