Treaty United 2-2 Univ College Dublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.9
Over 2.5
39%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.68
No
58%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
3.37
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.52
6+ Goals
8%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 37% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+2.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
49%
+12.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
51%
-12.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.2pp
58%
BTTS No
44%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treaty United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 40%
-11% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
0.87/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.18
-36% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
295 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treaty United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Univ College Dublin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
12.07.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-1 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
26.04.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 0-2 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
23.02.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-1 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
16.09.2022 Treaty United Treaty United 4-1 HT 2-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İRK
07.11.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-2 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
03.11.2021 Treaty United Treaty United 0-3 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Treaty United
2-2
AWAY Univ College Dublin
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Treaty United vs Univ College Dublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Treaty United and Univ College Dublin couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Treaty United had 33% of the ball to Univ College Dublin's 67%, shots finished 7-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Treaty United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Treaty United and 1.33 for Univ College Dublin.

What was the final score of Treaty United vs Univ College Dublin?

Treaty United 2-2 Univ College Dublin in the Ireland - 1st Division on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treaty United vs Univ College Dublin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Treaty United 33%, draw 27%, Univ College Dublin 40%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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