Univ College Dublin 1-1 Treaty United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 12 Jul 2024

Univ College Dublin
1-1 HT 0-1
Treaty United
📅12/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ireland - 1st Division – 2024

Univ College Dublin vs Treaty United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
33%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.46
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.45
6+ Goals
8%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 29% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-11.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
23%
+10.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Univ College Dublin v Treaty United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Treaty United EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +0%
2.01/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.15
+18% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Univ College Dublin vs Treaty United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Univ College Dublin
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Treaty United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.04.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 0-2 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
23.02.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-1 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
16.09.2022 Treaty United Treaty United 4-1 HT 2-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İRK
07.11.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-2 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
03.11.2021 Treaty United Treaty United 0-3 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
22.10.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-1 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
POST-MATCH Univ College Dublin vs Treaty United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin and Treaty United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Univ College Dublin at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Univ College Dublin and 1.33 for Treaty United.

What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Treaty United?

Univ College Dublin 1-1 Treaty United in the Ireland - 1st Division on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Treaty United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 41%, draw 26%, Treaty United 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Univ College Dublin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✓ Under 2.5
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