Cork City 1-0 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 12 Jul 2024

📅12/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.95
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.95
6+ Goals
9%
18.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 31% vs market 28.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
67%
-14.8pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.5pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.9pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cork City EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 15%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.70/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.79
-11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cork City
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Finn Harps
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-2 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İR1
23.02.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 1-0 Cork City Cork City İR1
27.09.2020 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
28.02.2020 Cork City Cork City 1-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İRL
20.09.2019 Cork City Cork City 0-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İRL
01.07.2019 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-0 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cork City
1-0
AWAY Finn Harps
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cork City vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cork City nicked a narrow win over Finn Harps 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cork City as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Cork City had 62% of the ball to Finn Harps's 38%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cork City had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cork City and 0.33 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Cork City vs Finn Harps?

Cork City 1-0 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cork City vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cork City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cork City 52%, draw 28%, Finn Harps 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cork City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cork City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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