Finn Harps 0-2 Cork City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.6
Over 2.5
34%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.49
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
4.78
6+ Goals
6%
27.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.49 — our 41% vs market 33.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+4.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-5.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.7pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Cork City EU Bookmakers 54%
+19% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
2.24/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.59
+100% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +126%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
214 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finn Harps
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Cork City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.02.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 1-0 Cork City Cork City İR1
27.09.2020 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
28.02.2020 Cork City Cork City 1-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İRL
20.09.2019 Cork City Cork City 0-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İRL
01.07.2019 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-0 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
08.03.2019 Finn Harps Finn Harps 3-4 HT 2-2 Cork City Cork City İRL
POST-MATCH Finn Harps vs Cork City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cork City saw off Finn Harps 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cork City as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cork City led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Finn Harps and 1.17 for Cork City.

What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Cork City?

Finn Harps 0-2 Cork City in the Ireland - 1st Division on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Cork City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cork City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 27%, draw 29%, Cork City 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cork City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cork City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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