Bray Wanderers 2-0 Kerry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.57
6+ Goals
8%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 33% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
57%
-14.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+10.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerry EU Bookmakers 22%
-12% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.21/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.80
-36% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +100%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bray Wanderers
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Kerry
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
6 Corners 8
23.02.2024 Kerry 2-3 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
01.09.2023 Kerry 1-3 HT 1-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
23.06.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 3-2 HT 2-1 Kerry İR1
24.02.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 3-1 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
POST-MATCH Bray Wanderers vs Kerry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bray Wanderers beat Kerry 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bray Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bray Wanderers had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Bray Wanderers and 1.50 for Kerry.

What was the final score of Bray Wanderers vs Kerry?

Bray Wanderers 2-0 Kerry in the Ireland - 1st Division on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bray Wanderers vs Kerry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bray Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bray Wanderers 42%, draw 28%, Kerry 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bray Wanderers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bray Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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