Treaty United 0-2 Univ College Dublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.08
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.8
6+ Goals
14%
16.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-4.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+3.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treaty United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 42%
-6% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +16%
1.02/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/0.83
-22% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +61%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treaty United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Univ College Dublin
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-1 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
16.09.2022 Treaty United Treaty United 4-1 HT 2-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İRK
07.11.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-2 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
03.11.2021 Treaty United Treaty United 0-3 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
22.10.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-1 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
16.07.2021 Treaty United Treaty United 2-1 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Treaty United
0-2
AWAY Univ College Dublin
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Treaty United vs Univ College Dublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin saw off Treaty United 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Univ College Dublin as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Treaty United had 49% of the ball to Univ College Dublin's 51%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Treaty United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Treaty United and 1.33 for Univ College Dublin.

What was the final score of Treaty United vs Univ College Dublin?

Treaty United 0-2 Univ College Dublin in the Ireland - 1st Division on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treaty United vs Univ College Dublin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Treaty United 31%, draw 28%, Univ College Dublin 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Univ College Dublin), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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