Univ College Dublin 0-1 Treaty United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.45
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 27% vs market 23.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Treaty United EU Bookmakers 37%
+14% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +25%
2.19/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/0.67
+56% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +82%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Univ College Dublin
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Treaty United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
15 Total Shots 23
9 Shots on Target 10
16.09.2022 Treaty United Treaty United 4-1 HT 2-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İRK
07.11.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-2 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
03.11.2021 Treaty United Treaty United 0-3 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
22.10.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-1 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
16.07.2021 Treaty United Treaty United 2-1 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
07.05.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 3-2 HT 1-2 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Univ College Dublin
0-1
AWAY Treaty United
61% Ball Possession 39%
3 Total Shots 4
0 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Univ College Dublin vs Treaty United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Treaty United nicked a narrow win over Univ College Dublin 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Univ College Dublin at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Univ College Dublin had 61% of the ball to Treaty United's 39%, shots finished 3-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Univ College Dublin and 1.83 for Treaty United.

What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Treaty United?

Univ College Dublin 0-1 Treaty United in the Ireland - 1st Division on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Treaty United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 41%, draw 25%, Treaty United 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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