Finn Harps 1-1 Cork City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 30% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.7pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Cork City EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.19/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.09
+1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
221 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finn Harps
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Cork City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
27.09.2020 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
28.02.2020 Cork City Cork City 1-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İRL
20.09.2019 Cork City Cork City 0-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İRL
01.07.2019 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-0 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
08.03.2019 Finn Harps Finn Harps 3-4 HT 2-2 Cork City Cork City İRL
21.08.2017 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-1 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Finn Harps
1-1
AWAY Cork City
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Finn Harps vs Cork City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finn Harps and Cork City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cork City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Finn Harps had 34% of the ball to Cork City's 66%, shots finished 7-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cork City led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Finn Harps and 1.17 for Cork City.

What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Cork City?

Finn Harps 1-1 Cork City in the Ireland - 1st Division on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Cork City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cork City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 32%, draw 26%, Cork City 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cork City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cork City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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