Kerry 2-3 Bray Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 23 Feb 2024

Kerry
2-3 HT 1-0
Bray Wanderers
📅23/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Ireland - 1st Division – 2024

Kerry vs Bray Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
53%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.03
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
9.99
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 27% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+1.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-2.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.5pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kerry v Bray Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 60%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
0.76/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.94
-41% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.6

Kerry vs Bray Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Bray Wanderers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
8 Corners 6
The Meetings
01.09.2023 Kerry 1-3 HT 1-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
23.06.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 3-2 HT 2-1 Kerry İR1
24.02.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 3-1 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Bray Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bray Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Kerry 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bray Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bray Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kerry and 3.00 for Bray Wanderers.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?

Kerry 2-3 Bray Wanderers in the Ireland - 1st Division on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bray Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Kerry 23%, draw 24%, Bray Wanderers 53%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bray Wanderers) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bray Wanderers) ✗ BTTS No
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