Kerry 3-3 Bray Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 12 Jul 2024

📅12/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.96
6+ Goals
10%
18.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.0pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.3pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.2pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 48%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -14%
1.58/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.42
+23% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
303 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Bray Wanderers
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
8 Corners 6
26.04.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-0 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
23.02.2024 Kerry 2-3 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
01.09.2023 Kerry 1-3 HT 1-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
23.06.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 3-2 HT 2-1 Kerry İR1
24.02.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 3-1 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Bray Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerry and Bray Wanderers couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 31% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bray Wanderers led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Kerry and 2.80 for Bray Wanderers.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?

Kerry 3-3 Bray Wanderers in the Ireland - 1st Division on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bray Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kerry 30%, draw 31%, Bray Wanderers 39%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bray Wanderers), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bray Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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