Kerry 1-1 Wexford Youths — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 28 Jun 2024

📅28/06/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 34% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.6pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.0pp
35%
Away Win
43%
-8.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.9pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 48%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.66/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.46
+29% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
273 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Wexford Youths
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-0 HT 2-0 Kerry İR1
29.03.2024 Kerry 1-1 HT 1-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
06.10.2023 Kerry 1-2 HT 1-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
11.08.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 3-2 HT 0-1 Kerry İR1
26.05.2023 Kerry 0-6 HT 0-2 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
17.03.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-1 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kerry
1-1
AWAY Wexford Youths
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Wexford Youths
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerry and Wexford Youths shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 33% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kerry had 52% of the ball to Wexford Youths's 48%, shots finished 14-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wexford Youths led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kerry and 2.67 for Wexford Youths.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Wexford Youths?

Kerry 1-1 Wexford Youths in the Ireland - 1st Division on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Wexford Youths?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wexford Youths win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Kerry 32%, draw 33%, Wexford Youths 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Wexford Youths), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wexford Youths) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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