Athlone Town 1-0 Treaty United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 28 Jun 2024

📅28/06/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.02
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.84
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.12
6+ Goals
7%
19.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
22%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
45%
-10.2pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.2pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.7pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Treaty United EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +4%
1.51/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.16
+4% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athlone Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Treaty United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.05.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 0-1 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
01.04.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
22.09.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 4-1 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
23.06.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
05.05.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 2-1 HT 0-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
17.03.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-2 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
POST-MATCH Athlone Town vs Treaty United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athlone Town edged past Treaty United 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and on the day Athlone Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Treaty United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Athlone Town and 1.67 for Treaty United.

What was the final score of Athlone Town vs Treaty United?

Athlone Town 1-0 Treaty United in the Ireland - 1st Division on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athlone Town vs Treaty United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athlone Town win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Athlone Town 35%, draw 32%, Treaty United 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athlone Town), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athlone Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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