Finn Harps 5-0 Bray Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
42%
2.13
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
5.2
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.13 — our 42% vs market 38.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.3pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.5pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.5pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.07/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.32
-27% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finn Harps
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bray Wanderers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.10.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-2 HT 0-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
02.08.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-2 HT 1-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
06.05.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
01.04.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 2-0 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
20.10.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
07.07.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-0 HT 0-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Finn Harps
5-0
AWAY Bray Wanderers
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 2
9 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finn Harps cruised past Bray Wanderers 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Finn Harps made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, Finn Harps had 67% of the ball to Bray Wanderers's 33%, shots finished 18-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bray Wanderers led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Finn Harps and 1.00 for Bray Wanderers.

What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

Finn Harps 5-0 Bray Wanderers in the Ireland - 1st Division on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Finn Harps win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 40%, draw 25%, Bray Wanderers 35%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Finn Harps), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Finn Harps) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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