Jonsereds IF 4-2 Vastra Frolunda IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
37%
+8.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-6.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.6pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jonsereds IF EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Vastra Frolunda IF EU Bookmakers 42%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.55/2.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.47
-8% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
304 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jonsereds IF
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Vastra Frolunda IF
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2024 Jonsereds IF Jonsereds IF 1-3 HT 1-0 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
09.06.2024 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF 1-2 HT 1-2 Jonsereds IF Jonsereds IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Jonsereds IF vs Vastra Frolunda IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jonsereds IF got the better of Vastra Frolunda IF 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jonsereds IF as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jonsereds IF and 2.00 for Vastra Frolunda IF.

What was the final score of Jonsereds IF vs Vastra Frolunda IF?

Jonsereds IF 4-2 Vastra Frolunda IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jonsereds IF vs Vastra Frolunda IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jonsereds IF win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jonsereds IF 45%, draw 24%, Vastra Frolunda IF 31%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jonsereds IF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jonsereds IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
26 Apr 2025
00:00 Sölvesborgs GoIF vs Nosaby IF Analysis →
13:00 Smedby AIS vs Huddinge Analysis →
14:00 Taby vs Falu BS Analysis →
14:00 Korsnas IF FK vs Skiljebo SK Analysis →
14:00 Qviding FIF vs Hestrafor Analysis →
14:00 IFK Kumla vs Herrestads Analysis →